On the one hand, there are institutional times that, no matter how compressed they are, foreshadow their inevitable rituals. On the other hand, those in the crisis, who knock loudly at the door and demand immediate responses. It is in this “hiatus” that Giorgia Meloni moves. Just yesterday she arrived early in the morning in Montecitorio to start the usual round of meetings and study of dossiers to plan the first moves to be implemented when finally her role, of “premier in pectore” as it is now, will become.
To be ready, the leader of the Brothers of Italy is leaving nothing to chance. Contacts with Draghi and Cingolani on the most important dossier, that of energy, are constant. And it is almost certain that the first measure that the next government will enact will be a “four” decree of Ajuda that should not differ much from similar measures taken by the outgoing executive, in order to “cover” the first months of 2023 as we go.
Discounting the renewal of social bonuses for paying bills – perhaps to be “heavier” and intended for a larger portion of the population – and the tax credit for energy-intensive companies. For the rest, for example the possible extension of the deadlines for the installment of the balance of energy bills, it will be necessary to verify the resources effectively available. It starts with the ten billion “treasures” left by Draghi due to a better-than-expected deficit-to-GDP ratio and is expected to collect at least as much of the extra VAT revenue (especially due to inflation) and the tax on the extra profits of energy companies. Theoretically, there may even be room to proceed with the mismatch in the costs of different energy sources. In other words, decouple electricity prices from gas prices. During the election campaign, Meloni explained that Italy could do it even without a deal in Europe, and 3-4 billion would be enough to do it. But of course it remains the main way to collect structural measures at the continental level. Without which Meloni’s plan would remain “lame”, as he wants to end the bonus phase as quickly as possible (“because that way they just give money to speculators”) to act at the source. And so as not to be forced into monstrous budget variations, this would not be the best calling card for the new Italian government in the face of international foreign ministers.
One of yesterday’s novelties was recorded precisely on the Brussels front. And this is the increasingly concrete possibility of Meloni presenting himself at the decisive European Council on the energy issue, scheduled for October 20, already in the post of prime minister. Times are tight, but not impossible. Considering that the new Parliament will meet on October 13, if we proceed quickly with the election of the Speakers of the House and the Senate and immediately choose the leaders of the groups of the various political forces, Mattarella could organize a quick round of consultations and give an exploratory mandate. in Meloni. At that point, negotiations on ministers between center-right allies would come into play. But an oath on October 19 can become an achievable goal.
“Objectively, we don’t know on the 20th who will be the prime minister – reasons Giovanbattista Fazzolari, manager of the FdI program – certainly who was in charge and assuming that by that date he has already been appointed, he will not have prepared the entire dossier. they are taking care of the dossier (Cingolani and Draghi, ed.) And what will arrive on the 20th will have been the result of the work they have done and whoever goes to Brussels to show their face”.
A way of saying that Meloni, at least initially, in Europe will adopt the same line as Draghi, hoping to reap the rewards. But knowing full well that even in the best of hypotheses (namely that Brussels approves the latest Italian proposal in record time: decoupling the price of gas from the Amsterdam stock exchange), the first stability law will still be characterized by energy costs and realism : «We foresee, as we are going to do, the flat tax on incremental earnings and bring the flat tax for self-employed workers from 65,000 to 100,000 euros. Nothing more » explains Fazzolari again. In short, for the commitments made in the program for now there are a billion or more. The rest will be discussed later, recession permitting.
Source: IL Tempo
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