A triumph that goes far beyond the wildest expectations. A possible, probable victory that strengthens the central government and expands the number of regions governed by the center-right. The first exit pools are grinning from ear to ear at the moderates. At Lazio, Francesco Rocca is calibrated between 50% and 54.4%, Alessio D’Amati between 30% and 34%, Donatella Bianchi between 10.5% and 14.5%. The conservatives also have a clear advantage in Lombardy: Attilio Fontana is between 49.5% and 53.5%, Pierfrancesco Majorino between 33% and 37%, Letizia Moratti between 9.5% and 13.5%. The first surveys released by Rai bring with them at least three assessments.
The first concerns the centre-right which, when it presents itself united and with a candidate worthy of the name, wins. No ifs and buts. The second concerns the Democratic Party, capable of losing both when it accompanies Five Stars, as in Lombardy, and when it reaches an agreement with the Third Pole, as in Lazio. The disappointing results of Donatella Bianchi and, above all, of Letizia Moratti, reinforce the bipolar model. Within which, today, there does not seem to be room for a new centre.
Of course, these are just initial observations. And, as such, with a very high margin of error. But even considering the lower range data for the two center-right exponents and the higher data for the two center-left candidates, the distances between progressives and conservatives still remain sidereal. Insurmountable, beyond the fair prudence of those directly involved. Even if Fontana stopped at 49.5%, he would still be more than twelve points ahead of Majorino (37%). Lazio’s assessment is even more blunt: Rocca with 50% would have sixteen points more than D’Amato, still with 34%.
Therefore, barring shocks comparable to underwater movements near the Mariana Trenches, moderates will retain Lombardy’s leadership and conquer Lazio. An apocalyptic scenario for the center-left, which would end up governing only four of the twenty regions (Tuscany, Emilia Romagna, Puglia and Campania).
Source: IL Tempo
Emma Fitzgerald is an accomplished political journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in political science and international relations, she has a deep understanding of the political landscape and the forces that shape it.
