Europe, the reform of the Pact is pure fluctuation

Reading the news, within hours Europe would have given birth to three historic measures: a new agreement on migration, especially for asylum seekers; the reform of the stability pact; the EU Court of Justice ruling on UEFA’s dominant position and therefore a substantial green light for the Super League. Of the three questions, I believe that the common citizen only understood the one that concerns football and, therefore, the possibility of having a championship with the most renowned teams.
“Let’s get ready to pay for another platform to watch the games”, they commented at the bar. It is no coincidence that the creators of the Superliga have already said that the offer is free, “because advertisers will pay”. It will be like this – I predict – only at the beginning, then the payment offers will begin. Like always. After all, every “launch offer” includes a free entry level; Then come the bills: if you want, you pay.

The same will happen with political Europe: the delay foreseen by the “new” Stability Pact seems comfortable for these three years, then from 2027 onwards increasingly strict control criteria will come into force. Exactly according to German punctuation. They ask: why did France say yes? I take a risk and answer: for two reasons. The first is that Macron is the son of those techno-financial worlds that generated the stability pact in both the previous and new formulations; the second is that Macron will end his term in 2027, so it will be up to whoever replaces him, in the meantime he can fluctuate. Here, the weakest point of the “historical” reform of the pact lies precisely in the lack of political vision, it is the result of the same logic that – round and round – finds its terminus in German culture. The most important rules of European architecture continue to be written with purely accounting criteria, and inspired by that financial world that does not want a political Europe and is pushing for the EU to be effectively “controlled” by Germany. The solutions found, as we said, are just floating during these three years (in the hope that the GDP will cheer up a little, otherwise they will still be painful), after which from 2027 you dare to grow (and how do you do that? ) or stay on hold: it was already difficult for us to stay below 3%, let alone below 1.5%.

There is nothing historical, much less political vision. History is moving in another direction and Europe, due to its original sin, cannot attack. History progresses ahead of the Brics, for example, with the entry of Arabia, the Emirates, Iran; it is playing with multipolarity where China opens the compass and covers the new emerging countries; History weaves energy relations (Brazil will enter the OPEC orbit from January 1st); Africa will do everything to free itself from a West that is more predatory than inclusive. And then the ongoing conflicts, two of which touch the very perimeter of the Old Continent, one to the east in Ukraine, the other in that Mediterranean always off the radar of Germany and, therefore, the EU. The world is making historic bets. And Europe presents itself with this pact to survive, as long as it is successful. The problem, however, is that we could be the first to succumb.