The polls say it clearly: All indications are that Giorgia Meloni is still traveling with the wind behind her. Fratelli d’Italia has now become the hegemonic force of the centre-right, and the prime minister’s possible candidacy in all constituencies in the next European elections could see his party reach 30 percent of the vote.
But, as is often the case in our country, consensus is a kind of seesaw and can collapse you in an instant. Matteo Salvini, Matteo Renzi and Giuseppe Conte know this very well, because he inherited a 5 Star Movement that was “split in half” compared to the 5 Star Movement that brought him to Palazzo Chigi.
2024 election appointments
For Giorgia Meloni, 2024 is full of traps; Above all, for the first time in his long political career, he finds himself in the uncomfortable position of having to protect the “fortresses” he has conquered rather than having to conquer them. New ones. And losing the place you govern weakens you much more than failing to wrest a municipality or region from your rivals.
In the leap year that is about to start, in addition to the European elections in question, many local governments will also go to the polls. Voting to elect mayors and municipal councils will be held in more than 3,700 municipalities, including 27 provincial capitals and 6 regional capitals; Bari, Cagliari, Campobasso, Florence, Perugia and Potenza will return to the voting. And then there’s regional play, with matches in Abruzzo, Basilicata, Piedmont, Sardinia and Umbria.
The survey that frightened Giorgia Meloni
As my colleague Andrea Maggiolo explains very well in these pages, the usual harakiri of the centre-left in Sardinia makes the defeat of the right unlikely; Because consensus is like a seesaw, but what always remains solid and unchangeable is the tendency of some political forces towards masochism.
It was a different situation in Abruzzo, a territory that was very valuable to the prime minister, as the current president, Marco Marsilio, was the first representative of the Brotherhood of Italy to conquer a territory. What is concerning is the Winpoll poll, which paints a scenario that does not see the outgoing governor’s re-election as a certainty.
“Can you tell me how you evaluate the performance of President Marco Marsilio’s administration?” To the question, only 11 percent of the interviewed sample answered “very good”, 17 percent answered “better than bad”, and 38 percent answered “none”. “neither good nor bad,” 18 percent answered “more bad than good,” and 16 percent said “very bad.” This trend is also confirmed in questions comparing Marsilio’s popularity with that of his next rival, Luciano D’Amico. Most likely The former rector of the University of Teramo, who will be supported by the so-called “wide field”, seems to have already reached a consensus that could give the current president a hard time. “I will list the leading figures of your region. To the question “Can you tell me how much you trust these names for each of them?”, 60 percent of the participants answered “D’Amico”. 50 percent of those interviewed are representatives of the Brothers of Italy. When asked a direct question, the result is more balanced (“who would you vote for?” “, ed.), but this tends to favor the mayor or incumbent in every poll who is “far away” from the electoral appointment, the person who is better known and less “worn out” by the election campaign. As a result Marsilio with 50.8 percent vs. Luciano D ‘Amico’ seems to be ahead with a score of 49.2.
Source: Today IT
Emma Fitzgerald is an accomplished political journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in political science and international relations, she has a deep understanding of the political landscape and the forces that shape it.
