If Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni tops the list in all constituencies in the next European elections, Fratelli d’Italia could gain 0.8 percent of the vote, rising from 28.5 to 29.3 percent; On the contrary, if Democratic Party general secretary Elly Schlein had done the same, the Democrats would have lost half a point and their vote share would have increased from 19.5 to 19 percent.
Meloni candidate punishes Lega and Forza Italia
This is the conclusion of the Porta a Porta survey conducted by polling institute Euromedia Research on voting intentions in the June election round. The survey also calculates the impact of the two possible candidates on the performance of other parties. The prime minister’s candidacy will punish two allied parties: Matteo Salvini’s League will rise from 8.4 to 8.2 percent, Forza Italia from 7.5 to 7.2 percent; Noi Moderati will remain at 0.3%.
M5S confirmed third party
According to Euromedia Research, the 5 Star Movement will confirm itself as the third party, and with Giuseppe Conte at the top of the list, this rate will increase from 17.8 to 18.1 percent, weakening the Democratic Party. However, in this case, the former Prime Minister’s candidacy was never considered and the party concerned reiterated many times that he would not be involved. The leader of the list, Elly Schlein, will also cause the Green-Left Alliance to decrease from 3.4 to 3.3 percent and +Europe to decrease from 2.5 to 2.4 percent.
Renzi and Calenda can drag pieces of the Third Pole
The centrists of the old Third Pole are in a better position: if its leader, Carlo Calenda, were the leader in all constituencies, the action’s vote share would increase from 4.3 to 4.6 percent. Matteo Renzi’s “support” for Italia Viva’s consensus will become even more evident, and with him becoming the leader in all of Italy, this rate will increase from 2.8 percent to 3.3 percent. Finally, the institute also calculated the figure for the overall value of alignments on the ground: The Center Right (Fdi-Lega-Fi-Noi Moderati) would reach 44.7 percent without Meloni’s candidacy, and 45 percent with his candidacy. With the Schlein candidacy, the votes of the centre-left (Pd – Greens and Si – +Europe) will increase from 25.4 percent to 24.7 percent.
Source: Today IT
Emma Fitzgerald is an accomplished political journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in political science and international relations, she has a deep understanding of the political landscape and the forces that shape it.
