Inflationary dynamics have erased any forecast. Home call Ahead came a high season of parities And there were already dozens of sealed payroll contracts, though with one peculiarity: There is no longer a common numerical or temporal pattern that serves as a reference. The reference to the 45% annual increase announced by the government a few weeks ago has been forgotten and it is now trying to meet expectations of 60%, as recently agreed by banking, commerce, healthcare, food and gastronomy. But there is no single recipe: there were many other activities that agreed to be upgraded in the short term, like in the case of Truckers, which achieved 31% growth per semester, or Smata mechanics, which received 15.5% quarterly. The heterogeneity of transactions is a reflection of economic uncertaintyExacerbated by internal short circuits that divide the government.

Budget Martin Guzman Which did not happen last year, the Congressional Filter predicted 33% inflation by 2022. Now the government is cutting its fingers so that the price increase does not affect 60%. The target range is displayed International Monetary Fund (IMF) is 38 to 48 percent, a goal that is already impossible. New information from the Minister of Economy in the updated budget draft will be announced that Alberto Fernandez Will send a version of the Necessity and Emergency Decree (DNU) to Congress.

To give signs of greater predictability and to avoid constant negotiations, the Minister of Labor, K. Claudius MoroniPromoted long-term contracts in recent weeks, preferably for one year. However, Hugo Moiano stopped himself and was surprised by the half-yearly deal, which even changed his parity calendar, which has historically been negotiated from June to May. “The diversity of agreements is a direct result of the heterogeneity of activity and negotiation style, compounded by the recent escalation of inflation,” Moroni said. ᲔᲠᲘ On the absence of a common pattern of parity.

A formal decision to move the negotiations forward is not a guarantee of meeting inflation expectations Lewis Fields, Coordinator of the Social Law Observatory of the Autonomous CTA. “The faster the price increases, the greater the number of revisions and the more frequent over time. It will be far from controlling inflation, on the contrary. And it will not help the workers either: at most they are behind inflation, but faster and faster, ”said Campos, a labor statistics expert.

For CGT unions, parity advancement is an urgent shortcut that will not help ensure predictability. “This is a transitional relief,” the CGT said in a stern message to Labor Day, warning of the consequences of the economic crisis and social inequality.

The wage guideline, which the government envisioned for 2022, had been implemented long before the start of the current year. In December 2021, The Federation of Workers of the Olive Industrial Complex, Cotton and related ginners agreed to increase the direct three chambers of commerce of the sector by one. 39 percent From January to August. That is, the first parity of the year closed eight months away and far from Guzman’s predictions. This was the first warning sign that went unnoticed.

Something curious is happening in the ongoing negotiations. Joint ventures that were negotiated with the annual intention in February, such as the public sector of Buenos Aires, are reopening when the discussion for the period 2021 has not yet been discussed. “Some characteristics of the current round of joint ventures. This is, on the one hand, due to the reduction of deadlines, either because shorter agreements are being negotiated, or because the review points are set in a timely manner. “On the other hand, there is the failure of the initial guideline, which in a few weeks went from 40/45 percent to a revised agreement, which reaches 60 percent per year,” said Campos.

Sergio Sassia, head of the Railway Union, warned that he would not accept long-term parity in the ongoing discussion. “We try to negotiate every semester and review. “We want 35% in six months,” the trade unionist told Radio Zónica today.

There were activities that reflected their boom times in payroll contracts. The Load and unload connectionWhich is an association that crosses the Mercado Libre, received quarterly growth of 22.4% and forecasts annual growth of 70%. HealthWhose boss is Hector Daer, one of the leaders of the CGT, has agreed to give labs a 45% annual increase, albeit with one caveat: the overall increase is paid for in the first four months and is subsequently a point of revision. The annual salary increase under the contract in July will reach 96%.According to sources familiar with the transaction in detail. Another distinctive parity, and not just because of the support of Christina Kirchner, is the banks. In addition to the 60% annual growth, the Covenant provides for two revisions, one in October and the other in December; A bonus of $ 170,000 for Banking Day and a bonus for participating in the profit of the financial system is maintained.