Causes and consequences of cambium fragmentation
The Milei is not some big blast engine (currently), but an accelerator of colliding particles from Together for Change partners.
Less together than in the process of change. The opposition alliance is going through a deep reconfiguration process that is changing the entire political scene together with the internal ruling party..
In the atomized cambiatic world today, common points resemble particles scattered throughout space. The abundance of presidential candidates (someone joins every day) is an obvious expression of fragmentation that transcends personal ambitions. And which finds its roots in many divisive elements.
Differences in diagnoses, perspectives, beliefs, biases, similarities, and affiliations affect the body seeking its identity, in which each key member perceives and represents it differently. Problems with self-perception.
Thus, it can be said that The emergence of the Miley’s phenomenon reinforced what had been hatched from the beginning and deepened after the economic defeat of Mauricio Macri and the 2019 election defeat.. An anarcho-libertarian is no one’s engine big Bang (Currently), but accelerator of colliding particles. At the risk that the essays would run out of the lab.
The same leads to infinity, mistakes and inconsistencies in the ruling coalition. The mirror effect causes anxiety and speculation in the opposite spaceMany were noted for expressing desires rather than in-depth analysis of specific variables and probabilities.
Suggestions for the fate and timing of government when different diagnoses are made show the density of differences and explain the different tactics and strategies used by each actor. From an economic point of view, cambium scenarios range from an expected collapse to a managed agony that goes through a small recovery. Politically, the forecast is to replace the imminent collapse of the FDT, the forced conspiracy and the ongoing dispute until the end of the mandate, and the unstable balance that will be upset when determining the 2023 candidates.
These volatile surfaces are differentiated and positioned by key spaces, leaders, and pre-Cambodian candidates.
If the Milei variable was adopted as a computer element, Macri and Patricia Bulriches Will be placed in the center of the square in which high electoral chances are granted “Enemy of the state”, Which supports ideological attributes. This forces them to reinforce the identity and narrative intended for flags and voters towards Miley. The belief that we are in front of a profound change of era like a Premenemism In the 21st century, it maintains the edge of admiration that they and their supporters showed at the Fundación Libertad dinner. This was confirmed by speeches in which any possible pollution was denied, no longer with some populism, but with some social-democratic variant.
It was not easy to tell the difference between Macri, Lope Murphy, Espert, Bulrich, and Cornejo. Even when the radicals tried to present themselves as effective and rigorous managers rather than acknowledging their liberal beliefs.
This meal, as well as the AmCham summit, was also evident In the yellow segment, the person farthest from the anarcho-libertarian square is Horatio Rodriguez Laretta.Before touching the boundaries of peronist and radical spaces. For something on Monday the diners applauded their competitors.
The sustained, though now slow, decline in the image of the head of government once again confirms the hypotheses of the leaders who flirt with the libertarian world. From this perspective, Laretta pays the price for an “ambiguous” position that does not involve a social shift towards the liberal right.
Marathon runner Laretta
The mayor of Buenos Aires responds in marathon mode, convinced that the Miley phenomenon is more cathartic than ideological. And I’m sure there is still a long way to go. Moreover, he says Mention pressure and energy consumption by others when the goal is still far away. He is confident he will win the final sprint, though some doubt it.
Larretta and her co-workers think the positions of her main pro-competitors will benefit her, primarily because they understand that Macri and Bulrich neutralize each other rather than empower themselves. Second, because They will keep the right-wing voters who would eventually still vote while it prevents those in the center from being intimidated.. Who, he says, will need to implement his project if elected president. Consensus to gain political support is their vigilance.
On the other hand, they respond that it is necessary to win and make profound changes without compromise, what Bulrich calls the political establishment, and that Miley disqualifies as a caste. They also argue that not having a clear position now will have irreversible consequences later.
It is also influenced by a mix of election and government speculation (or justification). Especially since there is no exact science to solve these dilemmas and it is usually solved both in the head and in the stomach (especially).
A) Yes, In recent meetings, Macri has called for the strengthening of a yellow identity, especially differentiation from radicalism.. The former president wants the coalition to be more of a change rather than a union. Purity first and foremost. Free from the bumps of “Duranbarbista”, he returns to his essence, convinced that he exists A new time (forgive me for quoting Bernardo Neustadt) in which his economic liberalism is an asset and political correctness a commitment.. For him, the uprising is from the right.
The big question is how to resolve these differences in Pro. No one can imagine that more than one yellow presidential candidate will arrive in PASO, given the risk of losing another candidate from a coalition force. But Laretta and Bulrich promise to go to the end, and Macri is in a noisy silenceExpecting improvements in polls;
A sharp analyst at UCR says the problem with macricism is the lack of party traditions and institutions. Now Macri’s leadership will exacerbate the inconvenience: in the past, he would end it by implementing the owner’s condition.
Is the neurologist on the run?
Identity definitions and political-electoral rhetoric underlie much of the conflict, not only in the Macrista space, but also with other members of the JxC, especially radicals. Any closeness to the most liberal ideas in the economic sphere (including Miley) leads to dissatisfaction or rejection. Diagnosis and ownership of fork pathways. As well as speculation and belonging, phobias and personal mistrust.
In such a context, While Gerardo Morales is lowering his profile and reaffirming his alliance call after being hit by versions of his alleged relationship with the ruling party, Facundo Manes’s presidential project is emerging with increasing force.. And the neurologist opens up to new strangers.
It is clear from his environment that JxC is not the only option you value as a means of your candidacy. Not with the current conformation. Fear of not being charged with a pro-candidate, especially if it is Laretta, is compounded by phobias that feature the main yellow figures he accuses of underestimating and mistreating him when in power.
In order not to drag everything on an emotional plane unsuitable for his profession, there is speculation about the possibility of including a part of non-Kirchist or Macristo peronism in his army, encouraged by some of the leaders and referents of this space who could not find it. A candidate who has opportunities in previous experience.
Analyzes do not rule out the possibility of cambiata going out of space. For this, however, Manes will have to convince a few supporters who will soon nominate his brother Gaston as president of the Radical Convention, a space in which electoral alliances will be defined.
The coin is in the air. There are many causes of cambium fragmentation and the effect is felt. The ruling party is celebrating, in search of acquittal, While the answers to the problems become difficult, the anticipation of the future becomes difficult and the antipolitics lick their lips. Very fast and angry.
Source: La Nacion
Roy Brown is a renowned economist and author at The Nation View. He has a deep understanding of the global economy and its intricacies. He writes about a wide range of economic topics, including monetary policy, fiscal policy, international trade, and labor markets.