It was an important step. Not enough or final. Reaffirmation of ownership Radical civil union (RCU) With for changes (JxC) Maintains coalition integration but does not weld cracks. Nor does it answer the question that reveals the main leaders and referents of its constituent spaces: Why be together?

Everyone knows why they are in JxC, the things that brought them into the alliance and why they have been together for seven years. Not a bit. But when they recall the time when they were in government and, above all, when they represented the future, differences arise in goals, diagnoses and predictions, which raises doubts and threatens to cross paths. Nothing is over and settled. The radical act in La Plata was a break in the midst of so much internal unrest. But, also, it meant a starting point from which new shots could be expected.

The revitalization by which radicals show and perceive themselves is not intended to maintain anything Status QuoBut to continue to challenge him, especially when he added to his territorial layout a previous presidential candidate who can cross party boundaries and, especially, together for change. The main challenge is macrism, as well as the complete reconfiguration of forms, ideas, projects and leadership.. A steep trail awaits everyone until they find a new match point. If they find it.

A lot has changed. The decision to suspend Kirchner’s “Let’s go for it all” in March 2015 with the formation of a political force behind the presidential candidate that can materialize it explains the reason for this. To changeUnder the dominant leadership of Pro and its owner, Mauricio Macri. But things happened (too much) and that context changed. He has not existed for a long time.

It’s more Radicalism now says that what united them from the beginning does not exist From the moment of the configuration of the government that emerged from the 2015 elections, which crystallized the then Cambyses as both an electoral-parliamentary alliance and not a governmental coalition.

This is something that the radicals refuse not only to repeat, but also to anticipate in advance in order to avoid any circumstance that helps them recover. Thus, doubt is more valuable than evidence. And prevention, more weight than verification for the two majority sectors that are in charge of dispute management and the blessing of a presidential candidate.

The fracture process, which crosses everyone to the front, offers broken glass shapes in which JxC is no longer reflected and can neither be explained. This is not enough difference as a mortar or as an identity constructor for the present, moreover, it is not enough to think and design for the future. What is seen in the opposition coalition today is a projection of the image of the past that cannot hide the contours of the figure in the process of transformation..

Impact of cycle completion

The end of a much-talked-about political cycle and the stellar opposition figure of today Facundo Manes Depending on him and the power to use his political project, he acts with the effect of double pressure on the Cambiaites when it comes to defining (re-establishing) his own identity.

The diagnosis of this end of the epoch is not limited to the exhaustion of the Kirchner hegemonic project that has been celebrated over the last two decades, although this point is a key point in the planning of any discussion and political action. Coincidence in the agony that Kirchnerism experiences does not imply a consensus among opponents on the length of the process and its eventual collapse, or on the possibility of re-inventing Christina Kirchner and her followers. Or injury.

The decline of the political space that emerged in 2003 is not only related to the rejection of its most emblematic figures, but also reflects the crisis of paradigms, decisions and preconditions that prevailed during this period and that is deeper. It is of political, economic and social nature. Therefore, discussions between the opposition are more difficult to resolve. Each sector in conflict has a different diagnosis about the depth of this crisis and the need to dismantle or overcome society. Break or cure Is the question.

The bipolar model, defined by the speculative antinomies Kirchnerism-anti-Kirchnerism, Macrism-anti-Macrism, explains and explains almost nothing, but continues to create tension, order and disorder in the two political coalitions. It is one thing to slow down the process and quite another to end it. There is always a distance of time and power between one and the other. Especially when there is a responsible opponent of the government, with the costs that it entails (it is true), but with the benefits that come from managing significant institutional and economic resources to influence reality. So much so that some analysts and political leaders have suggested a possible electoral confrontation involving Christina Kirchner and Macri, though this is unlikely.

The objective elements of the crisis are subject to the subjectivity of interpretations and, above all, to the personal ambitions of the main actors. The question of why the Cambiades are together and with whom they want, can or should gather, with whom to negotiate and with whom not, whom to question and summon finds roots and difficulty. Each has a different answer to each of these questions.

These questions open up new questions when the three dimensions on which they operate emerge: the role of the opposition, building an electoral project with the potential for success, and creating the conditions for a final government that can implement it. Projects and Avoidance of Frustration .. Such as the end of Macri’s presidency, which extended the life of Kirchnerism and brought him back to power. Given these scenarios, The two paths intersect almost clearly. On the one hand, the one represented by Mauricio Macri and Patricia Bulrich, i.e. the wing of the Falcons.For whom the current configuration is in progress Unbridled movement towards the liberal right In political, social and economic terms.

For them, populism is not only in the terminal phase, but there is no place for any option of the social-democratic type. In 2015 terminology, between shock and gradualism, shock without alternation.

There is also no place for peronism in this space, except for the Republican-Liberal variant (almost oxymoron), which has more media than the supposed voice. Anarcho-libertarian leaders and their constituents are the recipients of their efforts and their messages. For persuasion and convenience, for both electoral and possible administration orientation.

The fear of sounds that a mile-expert can take away from the choirs is as much a driver for them as it is a threat to their internal competitors.. Thus, some put the possibility that if at the end of the road Macri will not be in the candidate position and will eventually support Horatio Rodriguez LarettaBulrich forms an alliance with anarcho-libertarians abroad.

The pro-president denies this possibility, but some of his relatives are less strict for fear that the former president will point the finger at the mayor again. არისThat is right How to determine the pro’s presidential candidacy is one of the biggest unknowns that weighs heavily on the opposition coalition.. Polls today are not a dilemma.

Second, The pro side, which has Laretta as a reference and project, discovers the essential points of coincidence with official radicalism represented by Manes and Gerardo Morales.. There are very definite options and differential nuances between the two spaces, but they match The need to expand its support base to a new transversion that includes non-Kyrgyz Peronism. Time and goals distinguish between one and the other.

Perocambiae

The Radicals, led by the Manes brothers, want to add these Peronists from now on to an electoral structure that allows them to compete successfully with the pro-PASO apparatus.

After a party congress where he was consecrated president Gaston ManesWe will see that Facundo has spread its wings in search of this voter and his leaders. The neurologist admires the National Assembly hints expressed by leaders in this sector, such as Cordovan. John ShearerSalteno Juan Manuel Urtubei And the people of Buenos Aires Florentino Randazzo and Diego Bosio. It is conceivable to build and represent the space of a popular center, with social-democratic profiles, if this artefact can be imagined today in Argentina.

He has already held talks with several of them, but they are still far from any kind of rapprochement. In fact, there are not even unambiguous versions of these negotiations. This is what happened at the meeting with Skiaret. People close to the governor say the neurologist came up with a possible joint formula for running for vice president. The Manes categorically deny this and reinforce both the presidential aspirations and the membership in the JxC to form an alternative alliance without any intention of disintegration. Although they are calling for the expansion of the current coalition and not for what they represent Javier Miley And their investigations as Macri-Bulrichism.

At the same time, Laretta remains firmly in the construction of her candidacy to confirm PASO with the conformity in JxC and to establish a final post-election agreement (with her specialty) with Peronism to give sustainability to her final government.Which does not provide details about its characteristics.

Currently, the Alliance continues to take up arms to oust itself from power and to maintain the aspirations of its members, although each day requires new efforts to maintain its stability.

In the role of opponents, internal differences arise daily when it comes to voting in Congress or in provincial legislatures for pro-government projects, conflicts that intensify with the construction of candidates for the 2013 elections.

Why we are together is still an open question to which CambiaMit leaders have yet to answer. For himself or for many voters.