The “current market” that Christina can not even imagine

The “current market” that Christina can not even imagine

His economic views leave the Vice President far removed from macroeconomics, which enhances the productive power of individuals.

Christina Kirchner
Christina Kirchner

Faces of Argentina Structural problems On several fronts. One of the most difficult to overcome is Christina Kirchner’s economic common sense: A kind of religion that has the state as a totem and the market and the private sector as a taboo. The latest measures of ministers Martin Guzman Or John ZabaletaPartly formed in response to pressure from the Vice President’s economic concepts in a very delicate situation, which the President Alberto Fernandez Also uncontrollable, they acknowledge the bias and problematic side effects that arise from the Vice President’s belief. Both Confrontation with social movements That the Vice-President opened by the CTA Act as Import restrictions That he encouraged attention to the alleged “import festival” part of this worldview. The result is a vice-president concept that obscures the fundamental role of the private sector in generating virtuous and sustainable economic decisions, or that directly condemns it both in word and in practice, for example, abandoning social plans that lead to the creation of formal employment.

The time in Argentina is different. Exhausted by its “present state” of symbolic potential and financial resources, any political force that wants to take responsibility for the future, at best, or even survive, is almost forced to chant another mantra: the time has come. “Today’s Market”. On the other hand, the Vice President is more concerned with his historical beliefs than with his perception of the changes of time.

Any hope for a future Christina Kirchner with more economic rationality has been strengthened in recent days by a meeting with an economist at the request of the Vice President. Charles MelkonianCritical of the productive economic matrix of Kirchnerism, it is rejected by the economic legacy of Fernandez de Kirchner. Its propensity for deficit and emissions, a stagnation in private employment that began in 2011.When he started his second presidency, Export Trap and Hide PovertyFor example, but above all, because it does not include the present.

Christina Kirchner even chooses the power of marking her team member in the executive branch as a concept that affirms the hermeneutics of suspicion in relation to the market and private parties, their control and corner as a key tool and the state as the key to all problems. His economic views leave him far removed from macroeconomics, which enhances the productive power of the private sector. Rather, the mediating state is the focus of his gaze just when the state is exhausted like never before..

For the vice president, there is no such thing as a religious turn on the horizon that will lead him to nuance his views and visualize a political explanation in a pragmatic rift that puts market and economic rationality at the center. And this is a problem for Argentina, because those political figures who have enough power to set the government agenda and sometimes in public discourse do not believe in capitalism. “Even the Chinese have become capitalists,” said Melkonian, with whom the vice president spoke publicly for three hours.

The dilemma of social movements against mayors and governors posed by Christina Fernandez to overcome the Council of Social Plans does nothing to maintain it: the council remains intact, the state, its resources, and the political use of these opportunities. As left-wing leader Gabriel Solano says, “he hypocritically speaks of women actually relying on suburban barons.”.

Especially after the election defeat of 2021, the ruling party insists that now is the time to turn social plans into formal work, as if it were an almost magical political alchemy. To achieve this, the Vice President in his speech at the CTA did not offer sophisticated alliance engineering between the state, which plays the best role in equalizing injustice with the private sector, in its most virtuous role as the engine of growth and development. No alternative vision was heard that would change the mode of common sense and leave the way of conceiving the problem, which only managed to reproduce it. More than “promoting work”, the plans contributed to the instability of the autonomous world.

Christina Fernandez’s speech at the CTA simply offered a change for power and state resources, that is, everyone’s resources, for a vice-president-like power: starting with social movements, with mayors. A decision that is increasingly being shown as a pre-election move to spread something, especially on the outskirts of Buenos AiresWhen the 2023 election fate begins to play out.

Economist Marcelo CapelloResearcher at იერალიThe Mediterranean Foundation Institute, headed by Melkonian, has clearly demonstrated the political benefits of changing the hands of Labor in power. “If Empower Work plans are administered by the provinces, This will benefit the province of Buenos Aires, which, along with Zhujui, has the largest number of beneficiaries per 100 people with disabilities.“. In Juju, there is a 22.9 job support plan for every 100 people with difficulty. In the province of Buenos Aires, with the addition of Greater Buenos Aires and inland districts, is 27.8.

Within the province that governs Axel Kitsilo And it is in the central survival electoral strategy that Christina Fernandez envisions that suburban municipalities benefit the most. For every 100 inhabitants, on average, there are 3.3 recipient jobs in the suburbs. Florentio Varela, Kirchnerist municipality, highest, 7.9. It is followed by Jose C. Paz, the municipality of Mario Ishi, with a plan of 5.9 per 100 inhabitants, Ezeiza, Berazategi, Lomas de Zamora, Almirante Brown, Avelanda, Moreno, Quilms and Esteban Echeverria in the first positions.

When it comes to managing state resources, the Vice President continues to favor a clientelistic vision rather than a rational and structural vision that encourages the private sector.. In social organizations, when the plans go from “outsourcing” to mayoral management, everything remains within the state, always. The role of the private sector as a true employer of employment remains beyond its logic.

The vice president moralizes the sectors of the economy and does so in a biased way: evil is always different. The private sector in this framework is always questionable. Common sense surrounding the plans was associated with the idea of ​​”state care” in the years of historical Kirchnerism. In 2015, in the midst of a campaign, Kirchnerism instilled fears about Macrista’s presidency: the arrival of a new “neoliberal state” that ignored the most vulnerable.. Cambyses pursued a social policy that fell into the trap of this kind of conceptual extortion: he increased the number of plans as a sign of his social sensitivity. From the Ministry Caroline StanleyPublic policy has responded to some sort of compensation for the initial error of the governing sector, which should show signs of sensitivity.

The opposite of this common sense was once again taken by Christina Kirchner in the last months of Mauricio Macri’s presidency, when she said that the plans, paradoxically, are ineffective and depraved of a “neoliberal state” that perpetuates poverty. .

The history and limited contributions of Argentine social policy from 2002 to 2020 are very clearly highlighted in a paper prepared by a Jesuit priest and a doctor of political science from the University of California, Berkeley. Rodrigo Zarazaga And political scientists Andres SkipaniAlso a doctor of political science from the same university and Lara Forlino. The report is entitled “Social Policy Map in Argentina. Contributing to a fairer and more effective social protection system ”and published by Fundación Fundar and the Center for Research and Social Action (CIAS).

Argentina is the second country in Latin America, after Brazil, with more social spending compared to GDP, but with worse results. Chile and Uruguay have poverty rates that represent one-third of Argentina’s poverty, and they have achieved this by spending between half and two-thirds of Argentina’s social spending. Another fact from the report indicates the disappearance of the private sector from the horizon, which gives decisions: Expenditures on formal employment maintenance or promotion plans were reduced by 80% in 2011-2019. It is a contribution to companies that in the first case there is no dismissal in times of crisis, while in the second there are job training plans.

In another comparative paper by Shipan on how Chile and Uruguay switched to formal employment, macroeconomic stability emerges as a central variable. “Uruguay and Chile have had macroeconomic stability for more than 20 years And this has a positive correlation with the creation of formal employment. “A necessary condition for social policy is a stable macroeconomic policy,” said Skipani. Macro ordered as the best social plan. Conceptual bias Criticism And electoral despair does not lead him to those shores. Accepting the work of capitalism is the key to development.

On the contrary, when the vice-president is heard saying a kind of public prayer for the kind of “small and medium-sized businesses” that need to be protected, in practice they are violated. “Small and medium-sized enterprises have neither the ability nor the intention to exaggerate or speculate,” said the president of the Confederation of Medium-Sized Enterprises of Argentina (CAME). Alfredo Gonzalez.

As Melkonian says, reducing inflation is popular. The Vice President may agree with this statement. Although not with a prescription to achieve it. This difference plays out in the worldviews about Argentina.

Source: La Nacion

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