A future not rosy between the danger of war and the consequences of the energy crisis in the country. Lucio Caracciolo foresees this scenario in today’s editorial published in the pages of La Stampa. “Italy will face the most difficult winter in its recent history alone. The geopolitical context in which we have settled so far is in the process of implosion and accelerated reconfiguration. To imagine at this stage, for which there is no end, grandiose outbreaks of solidarity or even just European and Western planning means living outside of time”.
The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the risk of a European Union increasingly falling apart on its actions demand that the next Italian government pay close attention to its moves. “We only consider among the main strategic changes underway those that have a specific impact on our country. The war in Ukraine disconnected us from the main energy supplier, Russia, perhaps permanently. We are looking for and in part finding some immediate alternatives, among which Algerian stands out, or prospective ones, such as the use of the liquid natural gas market, in addition to nuclear utopias”.
The path, in the words of the analyst from Limes, is marked: “Not just an energy option, but a geopolitical one: it is about replacing Russia with the Mediterranean and America. Given that our main economic and industrial partner, Germany, is suffering an even greater structural crisis than ours and is in a strictly nationalist way to worry less and less about dressing its strategic guidelines in yellow-blue, it follows that part of the German sufferings will be reversed. This is especially true for our industry in the North, which thrives on interdependence with German producers”.
The final part of his editorial is an overview of European military policy, in which Italy would increasingly play a supporting role: “As for military power, unlike almost every country in the world, we are not rearming or culturally equipping for the war in which we participate not too indirectly, performing relevant functions in the NATO sphere, especially on the Mediterranean front. Meanwhile, Germany has established that it will be Europe’s main military power in the coming years, according to Scholz. would be enough to make the change of season.” Not only that, because “it wasn’t enough, let’s remember that Poland is acquiring state-of-the-art weapons thanks to the American decision to make it the Atlantic spear in the overthrow of the Russian empire. And Ukraine is today perhaps the second most conventional military power in Europe”.
However, even if “nothing suggests that Russia is willing to surrender, or to commit suicide”, the hope is that “more or less clandestine dialogue between Moscow and Washington opens the prospect of a ceasefire in the coming months”. .
Source: IL Tempo
Emma Fitzgerald is an accomplished political journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in political science and international relations, she has a deep understanding of the political landscape and the forces that shape it.
