There is very high tension on the border between Belarus and Poland, which is Putin’s staunch ally in the Ukraine war and a NATO country with all the risks of a global escalation of conflict that this entails. Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko announced that the Russian army will transfer many troops to his country in a Russian-Belarusian “joint regional group”. The official reason, as Limes reminds us, is against possible aggression by NATO and Ukraine. The scenario outlined by the geopolitics magazine is frightening. Minsk in the past also opened up the possibility of hosting Russia’s atomic bombs.
Poland, according to Lukaschenko, “is concentrating an increasing number of forces on the border and has effectively urged its citizens to leave Belarus.” The fear of an escalation is concrete after explosions were reported in the city of Lviv, a few tens of kilometers from Polish territory. In other words, if a missile touched Polish soil, we would be facing an attack on NATO, with all the consequences of the case.
But what is President Vladimir Putin’s Belarusian ploy? The movements are reminiscent of those prior to the conflict, with the invasion of Ukraine that also departed Lukashenko’s country in February. It is “an excellent platform to launch nuclear-configured tactical missiles to the west-central regions of Ukraine,” Limes said. If Pution wanted to use atomic weapons, he could choose these areas because “less inhabited by ethnic Russians, more geographically distant from Russian-speaking areas of the south”.
Source: IL Tempo
Emma Fitzgerald is an accomplished political journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in political science and international relations, she has a deep understanding of the political landscape and the forces that shape it.