In her relationship with the United States, Giorgia Meloni is more than calm. Knowing that President Joe Biden will be halved in a month and likely replaced in two years, the Italian prime minister in pectore for her five-year legislature has closer ties to the apparatus, from the State Department to security gentians, than with the White House. Strong with the weak and weak with the strong.
This is how the American president will present himself in the midterm elections next November, in 25 days, in the United States. With Vladimir Putin weakened by the war in Ukraine, Biden can afford to make a big voice, but at home in the US, he is the weakest. He risks losing control of the Senate and having to face the last two years of his “crippled” term, with Republicans stronger in terms of numbers and fierce in opposition and preparation for the 2024 presidential campaign.
Not only Russia, Covid, inflation and the risk of recession, there is one more news this year: a former US president has never been active in politics after leaving the White House like Donald Trump, who could run again in 2024. Midterm elections have always been seen as a first two-year trial by a president, and Biden certainly doesn’t get there with the wind in his sails. His deputy star Kamala Harris is also overshadowed. Or rather, it never shone.
Another losing bet. The risk of losing even a majority in at least one of the two chambers, then, is so high that another leader of the US Democratic Party, Nancy Pelosi, the current speaker of the House, is seeking a position, among other things in Italy, as ambassador. Republican candidates are in the key seats and, polls say, Trumpians in particular. Just by the way the November elections go, it will be seen whether former President Trump or Florida Governor Ron De Santis or Texas Governor Greg Abbott will run again for the White House in 2024.
No one on the left dares to give Biden alternate names just yet, but the feud is set to begin on this roster just after November. Beyond the fate of Biden and Trump and their respective parties, however, the vote will be in the direction Americans want their country to go. The values at stake are the most important, from abortion to ecology to the age-old issue of gun ownership. The positions of Republicans and Democrats are opposites on everything. A circumstance that, to tell the truth, facilitates the choice of voters who are clear on which side to take. The wind blows to the right as in Italy and Europe, although the media wants to convey the opposite message. If he lost the midterm elections, in addition to the jester, Biden would leave several high-ranking appointments pending, including the military and judicial sectors, which would have difficulties to be confirmed by the relevant Senate committees. Not only that, Republicans are ready to call for commissions of inquiry on various issues concerning the president’s son Hunter Biden, including his economic ties with China and Ukraine, not two random countries. As well as about the origin of the Covid pandemic.
So far, all has remained mute, while investigations into the attack on Congress on January 6, 2021 have been in the spotlight. If political power relations are reversed, US magistrates’ priorities could change as well. The day after the victory in November 2020, the world realized the weakness, even physical, of the president-elect and over the years the gaffes made the news more than the decisions made.
Most Americans complain about deteriorating economic conditions under Biden’s presidency, and the much-expected immigration policies have also disappointed. Then there is the issue of withdrawal from Afghanistan and the Russia-Ukraine conflict that hangs like the sword of Damocles on the head of the White House tenant. That is why decisive developments in international foreign offices are not expected before November, although the scenario has worsened significantly and the risk of the use of nuclear weapons seems increasingly concrete. From this point of view, a single day can make a difference and overshadowing the issue of the call to the polls is yet another element of discussion between Democrats and Republicans, which could determine the outcome of the November vote. Joe Biden bears a great responsibility: not only is his presidency under the democratic judgment of voters, but more broadly the role of the United States in the world and the direction that not only America but indirectly allied countries will take in matters of interest. global. Not least gas, rising prices and distribution difficulties, which Biden tried to solve in his own way, re-establishing relations with countries like Venezuela and Saudi Arabia, whose political leaders the US president until recently considered respectively dictator (Nicolás Maduro) . and murderer (Mohammed Bin Salman).
Source: IL Tempo
Emma Fitzgerald is an accomplished political journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in political science and international relations, she has a deep understanding of the political landscape and the forces that shape it.