“For the first time, the midterm elections were a referendum not only in the current president, but also in the ex-president, so present in his men and women, as well as in the speeches of his opponents, that a good part of the electorate mobilized to withdraw their spectrum🇧🇷
comment this to fanpage.it the still partial results of the midterm elections in United States, held on the 8th of November, Prof. Mattia Diletti, researcher in Political Science at Sapienza in Rome, in the Department of Communication and Social Research. Pending consolidated data, which will arrive in a few days, the current trend is already clear and is based entirely on the eternal rivalry between Joe Biden AND Donald Trump.
Prof. Diletti, Trump’s red wave didn’t happen. What is the current situation and what should we expect?
“Firstly, there is an issue that we could define historical and that concerns the middle ground. It is normally an election in which the president is ‘punished’ and judged and it has always been easier for the opposition party to ‘last until the voters. In short, the president’s party is always expected to lose. This did not happen recently, only in 2002 with George W. Bush, when there was still the emotional wave of 9/11. Also this time Biden was expected to lose, also due to the fact that he had a very low approval rating and on top of that there was the issue of inflation, which was thought to be blamed on Biden himself, causing him to capitulate.
Instead, what happened is that basically I the polls were wrong, especially in the House, and so for the first time I believe that there was not just a referendum on the current president, but also on the former president, in the sense that Donald Trump was so present in his men and women, but also in speeches of the dem, which in the end a part of the democratic voters mobilized to remove its specter. we are still in2020 election long wave🇧🇷
In your opinion, what were the reasons for this mobilization?
“This year we are approaching 50% voter turnout, a high percentage by American standards, it seems mainly thanks to the vote of young it’s from women according to exit polls. Many, in fact, speak not only of the mobilization against Trump, but also of the divisive issue of rights related to theabortion after the Supreme Court ruling last June.
There are also economic issues: if we look at Biden’s speeches during the election campaign, most of them concern the economy and public spending, highlighting the fact that in the event of a Republican victory, there could be less investment in health. That thing worked, as did the Trump dichotomy. Recall that in late August Biden called him a “semi-fascist”. The last element is that some Trump-backed candidates were too unprepared and extremist to be voted on, scare moderates and galvanize Democrats against them.”
It’s a bit like what happened in Pennsylvania, where Oz was defeated by Fetterman…
“Until recently, Fetterman really had the upper hand, but what’s interesting about Pennsylvania, one of the suspended states that became crucial to the presidential election, was the Democrats’ ability to identify the right candidate, consolidating a trend that has been going on for some time. Fetterman is fine because he talks about social issues that pertain to minorities, but he also addresses the rest of the population, especially the angry white middle class. Of course, Trump’s candidates didn’t work.”
Which states should we look to in the coming days to get a clearer picture of the midterm election results?
“Certainly Arizona, Nevada AND Georgia, where voting will take place. The polls said that in the former it was going to 50 and 50. The Democrats, however, are favored by the technical fact: the Senate is renewed every two years by only 30%, and this year the Democrats had fewer seats to lose. If they hold out, it’s a good compromise for Biden, a not very satisfying victory especially in view of the 2024 presidential elections.
As for the internal dynamics of Biden’s party, it’s interesting to look at what happened in New York state, where they lost seats they didn’t expect to lose and there’s a strong polemic between the Ocasio-Cortez wing and the mainstream party. In any case, if Republicans in the House find themselves with a narrow majority, there will be a good conflict for them, because the question of the relationship between conservative Republicans, but not Trumpians, and the Trumpian wing will open up. It won’t be easy to manage.”
How much might these results influence Trump’s decision to run again in the 2024 election? Re-appointment to be announced on November 15th….
“We all have to remember that the first thing Trump thinks about is his interests. He has a series of very important open inquiries, and if he doesn’t get the political support he’s had so far, he’s likely to stumble. political and economic-financial. He will fight like a lion in order to survive, unless someone offers you a comfortable way out.
We don’t know what he will say on the 15th, some are suggesting he at least wait for the Georgia poll results to make any kind of announcement. The fact is, it’s a tricky time to party. Also interesting is how quickly the former mogul was evicted, even by Murdoch’s media. He was a foreign body to politics and now the political system is trying again to expel him.”
Source: Fan Page IT
Ashley Root is an experienced business journalist and author at The Nation View. With a background in economics and finance, she has a deep understanding of the inner workings of the business world and is able to provide insightful and informative analysis on a wide range of topics.
