Let us think, as De Mita said: that the invasion of Ukraine had lasting consequences on the world balance, far beyond the desirable end of the conflict, was evident from the beginning: Bastiat’s illusion that where goods pass, weapons do not pass is over. for it turned out to be exactly that, and was only the temporary landing place of globalization: anything other than the end of history, in short. The world of peace based on trade and consumption distribution, even in the abandoned part of the world, partially reduced inequalities, but also impoverished the Western middle classes, causing chain social crises, and Covid completed the dirty work: the shocks suffered in supply actually shook the food, energy and other raw materials markets and, finally, the gas crisis definitively changed the global order. And we come to war: isolating Russia through sanctions has not worked, in fact the West has discovered that the rest of the world now uses a different grammar to its own, as the UN votes clearly demonstrated. In short, if the Euro-Atlantic axis strengthened, America discovered that it was no longer the undisputed leader of the world and had to concentrate its political weight in Asia to contain Chinese imperialism. We have therefore already entered a new historical phase in which, however, let us clearly state in our heads, in the future we will not be able to do without Xi or Putin.
Saying it makes us feel nauseous, but we need to take note of reality before falling into the unknown, in the awareness that the war in Ukraine is a fire that runs the risk of spreading to other scenarios, with Europe – which, let’s be clear, it reacted as it should, becoming the first element of destabilization of the globe. Because the wind blows strong and fires must be put out before they spread and fuel other fires. Or, as wise old Kissinger says, it would be better to avoid them, and unfortunately this was not done in Ukraine. Let us be clear once again: the equation of democracies against dictatorships, humanitarian interventions against violations of peace are based on principles that seem to be missing, such as the clash of civilizations that the West is suffering instead of governing. And the contagion from Ukraine is already tragically underway: if Hamas was able to carry out the most devastating attack in its history against Israel, it certainly did so because it was supported by Iran, but also because the West-Russia axis that the Islamic Awakening originated has broken out and now everyone plays their own game or no longer has the strength to carry it through to the end, as is happening in Nagorno-Karabakh, where the Azeris chase away 120,000 Armenians allied with Moscow without any condemnation and without any sanctions to defend the international order. Not only that: NATO is on alert for Serbian provocations and the ongoing escalation in Kosovo.
The reality is that after the end of the Cold War, a new and true world order has no longer been built, and both Kosovo and Nagorno Karaback are the most recent examples, and both have an indirect impact on the war in Ukraine, because Moscow has every interest in helping Serbia trigger a new outbreak in the heart of Europe. There are indeed points of contact between Ukraine and Israel, a state that has never openly condemned Russia to protect its national interests, although there have been numerous frictions with Kiev, so much so that Zelensky asked to exclude Tel Aviv from the Ramstein group. At the same time, however, Israel and Ukraine have a common enemy, the Ayatollah’s Iran, which supplies Moscow with drones launched over defenseless cities, while Russia has historical contacts with Hamas, although it cannot be excluded that it has given the green light the carnage against our Israeli friends. In short, it is a very complicated puzzle, with the Iran-Hamas-Hezbollah axis scoring a point in its favor by inflicting unprecedented humiliation on Israel and blocking the development of the Abraham Accords with Saudi Arabia. And against this grim backdrop, Biden’s decision to involve Iran in the nuclear program appears to be what it immediately appeared to be: a completely improvident overture. The global disorder is there for all to see and, unfortunately, there is a lack of solid Western leadership capable of putting it back together, but if the main fire – the Ukrainian one – is not put out quickly – fires that are anything but intentional will eventually disappear. lighting up in all areas potentially at risk, just think of the coup movements on the African continent. The United Nations is out of the picture, so a new Yalta between the great powers would be necessary, if not to divide the world, at least to avoid catastrophe. Simply put: Kiev cannot become the Sarajevo of World War III.
Source: IL Tempo

John Cameron is a journalist at The Nation View specializing in world news and current events, particularly in international politics and diplomacy. With expertise in international relations, he covers a range of topics including conflicts, politics and economic trends.