Expert who predicted Hamas attack on Israel

“A war against Israel could begin between September and October 2023.” A prediction that today takes on the guise of a prophecy, announced more than a month before October 7, when Hamas began attacking Israeli territory. The unprecedented violence took everyone by surprise and did not surprise Yigal Carmon, a counterterrorism expert and advisor for years to Israeli prime ministers Yitzhak Shamir and Yitzhak Rabin. Carmon, one of the most important figures in the Israeli intelligence community, published an article on the website of Memri, the Middle East Media Research Institute, of which he is the director, on August 31. The title of the article leaves little room for interpretation: “Signs of a possible war in September-October”. And now, in light of the news of the last 72 hours, it becomes a document that is impressive with its clarity, clarity and precision.

Hamas attack “predicted” in 5 locations

In the article structured in 5 articles, Carmon summarized the framework that actually led to the beginning of a conflict. “Recently, there have been increasing signs that a war against Israel could break out in September or October 2023. The trigger could be a spiral of violent clashes that would lead to a large number of victims, or the use of new weapons that would cause a large number of victims for the side. The expert said that Israel is regularly “It is a situation that cannot be countered with anti-terrorism measures,” he wrote. “While neither Hamas nor Hezbollah is willing to start a global conflict with Israel, such a conflict could result from an uncontrolled deterioration of the situation on the ground or from these movements’ use of new and unusually lethal weapons,” the statement said. An analysis that, re-read today, seems impressive in its precision and accuracy.

While the first article focused on Hezbollah’s provocations on Israel’s northern border, the second article, regarding Hamas, focused on “Islamist terrorist organizations in the West Bank adopting methods of warfare such as launching rockets in Gaza.” In the document, especially in the fourth article, Carmon underlined that “in response to Israel’s threat to assassinate the perpetrators and instigators of terrorist acts, the leaders of terrorist organizations have recently increased their threats of global regional war.”

The article specifically cited Hamas leader Saleh Aruri: “In an interview, he threatened to intensify the conflict with Israel to the point of a global war: ‘We are preparing for a global war and we are discussing it behind closed doors. With all the elements and components attached to this war'”. In fact, the signals were clear to the expert. The text emphasized Iran’s role in creating an anti-Israel ‘axis’ and referenced high-level meetings in Beirut highlighted by the Wall Street Journal in the last few hours. Carmon had spoken of this 40 days earlier, with the belief that there was “the possibility of an unprecedented increase in the number of Israeli victims following the use of new lethal weapons, with Israel forced to respond even at the cost of a global war.”

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Source: Today IT

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