The ‘war’ message no longer works. ISW: Putin has a different plan

There will be presidential elections in Russia next year. Vladimir Putin should avoid the topic of the war in Ukraine in his campaign.

Experts from the Institute of War Studies (ISW), after analyzing the collected data, came to the conclusion that Russian President Vladimir Putin will avoid focusing his presidential campaign on the issue of the war in Ukraine.

War stops “working”

Analysts indicate that Putin is more likely to focus on “stability in Russia” and criticism of the West, according to reports in the Russian media. The ISW report shows that the independent Russian media Meduza reported on November 8, citing two sources closely linked to the Russian president’s government, that the presidential campaign aims to portray Putin as a leader who Russia has created an “oasis of peace”. ”

Meduza’s sources say Putin’s ratings are rising after his speeches criticizing the West. Therefore, Russian propaganda increasingly repeats statements about “difficulties” in Western countries and the alleged inability of the United States to support Ukraine and Israel at the same time.

The war in Ukraine may only be mentioned in the campaign in “very serious” cases [rosyjskiego] success” at the front. Vladimir Putin is reportedly preparing to launch his presidential campaign this month. “Kommersant” reported that the official announcement of the start by the leader is scheduled for November.

The ISW report recalled that Putin had previously downplayed the Russian offensive at Avdiyka, calling it “active defense.”

Presidential elections in Russia

Presidential elections will be held in Russia in March 2024. Vladimir Putin can run for office thanks to the 2020 amendment to the Russian Constitution. The change assumes that the president of Russia, despite being in power for two consecutive terms, can run for two more terms, which under the new constitution are treated as the first and second terms.

Source: Do Rzeczy

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