Supporting Ukraine is strategically advantageous and more economical for Western interests in the long run: an analysis by the famous US institute emphasizes this Institute for War Studies It explores the strategic-military and financial consequences of a possible Russian victory in Ukraine. A Russian victory over Kiev would mean a greater military threat to NATO’s borders and require major defense spending by the United States and its European allies. Moreover, Russia’s victory in Ukraine could erode economic sanctions and strengthen the Russian military, increasing its capacity to take on a military challenge. But let’s go in order.
According to US intelligence sources, with Western support, the Ukrainian military destroyed almost 90% of Russian military assets that crossed the Ukrainian border in February 2022, but the Russians have compensated for these losses and are rapidly developing their industrial bases. If the United States and Europe stop military aid, the whole of Ukraine may come under Moscow’s direct control: the Russian army, although battered, will triumphantly reach the NATO border along the entire eastern border of the Atlantic alliance from the Black Sea to Russia. ‘Arctic Ocean.
And compared to the beginning of the war, Moscow’s military will be much larger and more combat-ready by 2022, given Putin’s ambitious military expansion program.
The sanctions, for which Europe has brought up the 12th package in the last few hours, have only partially affected the Russian economy, which has survived or mitigated the consequences of the blockade of the Western market. And over time, it will be able to replace technological know-how thanks to the strengthened partnership with China.
According to analysts, Russia may soon pose a serious conventional military threat to NATO for the first time since the 1990s. Although NATO’s military potential is incomparable to Russia’s, even assuming Moscow fully absorbs Ukraine and Belarus, U.S. analysts say the cost of letting Russia win in Ukraine is far greater than most people imagine. They carefully considered whether it would be higher.
If Moscow succeeds in overthrowing the Kiev government and taking control of the country, Russian forces that will lead the almost inevitable Ukrainian uprising could advance to Ukraine’s western border and establish new military bases on the borders of Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania. It also threatens the Baltic States and Finland by covering itself with a dense air defense network consisting of anti-aircraft and anti-missile systems.
The United States – as a deterrent against the poorly disguised desire for expansionism, reminiscent of the Soviet Union – should actually deploy a significant part of its ground forces in Eastern Europe, but also deploy stealth aircraft, the only aircraft that can “pierce” the air. Defense of Moscow and Beijing. These aircraft are inherently expensive to build and maintain, but the challenges of producing them quickly are likely to weigh between keeping enough aircraft in Asia to defend the United States, Taiwan and other Asian allies, and deterring a Russian attack on a NATO ally It will force you to make a difficult choice. . An undertaking that will potentially cost a fortune for an indefinite period of time.
Helping Ukraine regain control of all or a large part of its territory would be much more beneficial than holding its ground and freezing the conflict: this would simply give Russia time and space to prepare for a new offensive. It does not matter whether Ukraine joins NATO or not. In addition, the fact that Ukraine is large, educated and industrialized enough to support its own army by establishing joint ventures with Western companies makes a great contribution to NATO security and the Western economy.
Source: Today IT
Karen Clayton is a seasoned journalist and author at The Nation Update, with a focus on world news and current events. She has a background in international relations, which gives her a deep understanding of the political, economic and social factors that shape the global landscape. She writes about a wide range of topics, including conflicts, political upheavals, and economic trends, as well as humanitarian crisis and human rights issues.
