Political View: Coming Flood | Jorge Alcocer V.

Jorge Alcocer V.

No other event in this first month of the new year is as significant as what will happen on Monday the 20th in Washington, DC. 7 days after Donald Trump’s second visit to the White House, the world is waiting for his first decisions. For Mexico, there are three issues that are immediate and of immediate consequence: the deportation of hundreds of thousands of people to Mexico; measures against the production and transportation of fentanyl, as well as unilateral tariffs on various agricultural and industrial products of Mexican origin.

As the party arrives, Trump himself heats up the atmosphere with statements that, due to jaw incontinence, “his tongue is faster than his head” (Muñoz Ledo). say it regarding Vicente Fox), reveal the intentions and desires of the man who will lead the most powerful government in the world for the next four years. When Trump talks about taking immediate action against Mexican cartel bosses, imposing 100 percent tariffs on Chinese cars made in Mexico, or changing the name of the Gulf of Mexico, our government may consider it bluster and respond with jokes, but it would be better to be serious; not because everything will be exactly as advertised, but because something bad will happen.

Reacting to the statements of the future President of the United States as if it were a treacherous duel is not conducive to the development and implementation of Mexican policy in the face of the impending flood. In the face of Donald Trump’s threats and brutality, Mexico’s response must be understood by investment decision makers operating in or with an interest in Mexico, the media and influencers with international influence, and public opinion.

I remember a cartoon by Rogelio Naranjo in Proceso magazine: looking towards Mexico through the border wall, Uncle Sam shouts at us: corrupt! The Mexican answers: marijuana! This is who we are now. Not because we do not have the means to defend Mexico’s interests, but because of the lack of clarity and meaning in the policies of our government, which has been stumbling for 100 days, dazed by the tornado of constitutional, legal and administrative reforms of its predecessor, and they are turning into a storm.

If there is any recommendation to make to the federal government, it would be to take a few days to study. Let them stop worrying about what will be said tomorrow morning and start analyzing what can be done about the measures Trump is putting in place starting January 20th. Offering Mexican migrants facing deportation an App to provide a panic button on their cell phones so they can alert the nearest Mexican consulate that they’ve been detained sounds like an April Fool’s joke. This was in December.

The issue that requires immediate action is what, starting later this month, municipal, state and federal governments will do with the expelled non-Mexican migrants from the United States who could be arriving in cities along our border by the thousands. , with about without their relatives. They do not have the resources or infrastructure to provide them with humanitarian assistance, let alone offer them paid work. Today we are faced with the challenge of leaving them at the mercy of human traffickers or the charity of religious or civic organizations. To date, there is no known plan or action to address the impending emergency, which could cause serious problems in a number of our border cities.

When it comes to fighting the cartels, Mexico’s sovereignist discourse may be very attractive to 4T adherents, but it is useless in the face of future realities. The possibility of direct action on our soil by the special forces of one or more US agencies or with the cooperation of the Mexicans and the intelligence cover of the DEA, CIA or FBI is much more than the script of the second season of the series Lioness. Faced with this risk, the federal government will have to face its dilemma: protect and guarantee impunity for its own citizens, or find a way to hand them over to Mexican justice before we see actions like those that brought Mayo Zambada to power. court in New York, only the main character could be some governor or mayor of Morena.

In the economic sphere, due to inaction and confusion, we are left alone. Canada separated from Mexico a few months ago and is currently in a government crisis. In the United States, sources capable of putting business barriers to Trump’s threats have not stepped up. To threaten that Mexico will respond in kind to unjustified tariffs is to reinforce the controversial idea that they have something to lose in this war. This is wrong. Currently, a dollar at the bank window sells for 21 pesos or more. Devaluation is a fact, and uncertainty turns into fear.

After 100 days of the current government, the grace period, if there was one, is over. The constitutional reforms imposed by the former president on his successor have caused further confusion and uncertainty in markets as they are described as an attack on legal security and democracy. A Canadian friend of mine asked me a few days ago: Why should my country support those who do not respect tripartite agreements and abandon the most basic democratic standards? I don’t have an answer.

Insist on escapism through advertisements for vaccines and cars that do not exist, or jobs for which there are no executive projects or government funds; real resume on several sheets power pointplans and programs that are not formulated means turning a blind eye to the most threatening situation Mexico and the world have faced in decades. The real question is not what the Mexican government did in the first 100 days, but what it will do in the next 20 days.

Follow me on: www.vozyvoto.com.mx

Source: Aristegui Noticias

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