However, it is not just a matter of power. “The court usually works in favor of the defending party,” explains Deen. “Until now, this advantage has mainly been on the Ukrainian side. If they launch a full counter-attack, it will pass to the Russians.” Deen says more loss of people and equipment is inevitable for Ukraine. “So it’s harder to maintain high morale.”
De Kruif considers a large-scale counter-attack unlikely at the moment. “They just don’t have the manpower,” he says. “I’m not ignoring small local counter-attacks, but I don’t see large-scale land conquest in the coming months or even years,” he said.
But Osinga is less certain. “It’s essentially an artillery war now,” he says. “Ukrainians are making great strides wherever they see an opportunity. The counterattack has many facets, not just hundreds of tanks rolling in the fields. He also damages the Russian defense line with artillery and attacks very carefully with small units. It can be effective anywhere.”
Source: NOS
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