Ukraine, 007 Americans are now shaking: long times and slow motion war. Finland-Sweden, Putin warns NATO

The accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO could only provoke a reaction from Russia. The expansion of the Atlantic alliance to the Scandinavian countries “does not worry” Moscow, which, however, reserves the right to respond to a possible “distribution of infrastructure and military contingents of the Atlantic Alliance” in the two Nordic countries “following the principle of reciprocity”. ”. “. This was stated by Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to which Sweden and Finland “do not create the same problem” that would arise if Ukraine joined NATO: “We have no territorial disputes with them. Your membership does not concern us. They are free. do what they want,” Putin said from Ashgabat. “We had positive relations with Finland and Sweden, and now there will be some tensions. It is evident that there is no way to avoid this,” added the Russian president.

Meanwhile, clues about Russian strategy in the conflict emerge from the battlefield in Ukraine. According to US intelligence, Putin remains intent on conquering most of Ukraine’s territory, even though at the moment Moscow’s military forces are so weakened by fighting that they can only advance slowly. The result is that the war can last a long time. The assessment is made by the director of US national intelligence, Avril Haines, for whom the invasion will last “for an extended period”. “We see a divergence between Putin’s short-term military objectives in this region and his military capabilities. A mismatch between his ambitions and what the military is capable of achieving,” Haines said in a speech at a conference hosted by the Commerce Department.

Three scenarios described by the US official: the most likely is a slow-motion conflict, with Russia managing to take “incremental steps forward, but without breaking”. The other two possibilities include, on the one hand, an important achievement by Russia, on the other, the stabilization of the front lines as they are now, with the Ukrainians managing to advance, albeit little. Each of these three scenarios sees Russia becoming more reliant on “asymmetrical tools” to fight its enemies (cyber attacks, control of energy resources and even nuclear weapons). Either way, the conflict seems destined to continue for a long time to come.

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Source: Iltempo

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